• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer
Home Garden Joy
  • Home
  • How to Garden
    • Garden Pests
    • Plant Diseases
    • Raised Bed Gardening
    • Seed Starting
    • Tools & Equipment
  • Plants
    • Plant Profiles
    • Vegetables
    • Fruit
    • Herbs
  • Recipes
    • Canning and Food Preservation
  • Books & Classes
    • Herbalism Classes
    • Books for Christian Herbalists
  • About
    • Privacy Policy

Can Woolly Bear Caterpillars Predict Weather

November 6, 2014 by Jeanne

The other night, Hubby and I were walking Shadow along our quiet country road when we spotted a woolly bear caterpillar. Woolly bear caterpillars are quite common sights around here, and they were common back on Long Island where I used to live, so I feel like they’re old friends. I always stop to say hello to them and watch them as they wriggle their way across the pavement. They always seem to cross the road from the cattle field to the woods at this time of year, perhaps heading for deeper cover against the snow and cold.

“Look at this one!” Hubby exclaimed, pointing to the fuzzy caterpillar. “He doesn’t have any black on him at all. What does that mean?”

We both love the myth that a thick black band on a woolly bear caterpillar means a harsh winter. Woolly bears typically have black bands on both ends, with a large reddish brown stripe in the middle.

But then we encountered this fellow:


What does it mean? Does our woolly friend think he’s in Miami? Why does he have so much brown and very little black on his coat?

What Is a Woolly Bear Caterpillar?


Woolly bear (Pyrrharctia isabella) caterpillars are found throughout North America, although more common along the northeastern, eastern seaboard to the midwestern areas of Canada and America. They eventually metamorphose into a nondescript tan colored moth called the Isabella tiger moth.

The woolly bear caterpillar has 13 segments or joints on his body, which are thought to correspond to the 13 weeks of winter. You can’t see them just be looking at the caterpillar, however; his thick fluff covers it. The 13 segments may have led to the myths that correlate the caterpillar’s colors to the length of winter.

They’re very timid caterpillars and will play dead if bothered by people, birds or animals. Unlike the pus moth or the saddleback caterpillar, which stings with its furry poison-tipped spines, the woolly bear is a gentle fellow. The fur along his segmented body is probably a natural mimic of his more aggressive cousins in the insect kingdom; birds take it as a warning to leave him alone even though he’s quite harmless.

The Myth of the Woolly Bear Caterpillar to Tell the Winter Weather


The legend I always heard as young girl growing up in New York was that the width of the black bands foretells the severity of the winter; the broader the bands, the harsher the winter.

Other myths abound in different parts of the United States, however. In some parts of the country, the myth of the woolly bear caterpillar states that it’s not the broadness of the black bands that foretells the winter weather but the thickness of his coat. The thicker the coat, the harsher the winter. In that case, my russet-colored friend predicts a harsh winter, indeed.

My research into the legends of the woolly bear caterpillar, however, led me to yet another legend. This one states that the direction of the worm’s travel indicates the harshness of the winter. If the woolly bear caterpillars travel south, it’s going to be a cold winter, because they’re trying to escape into warmth. (Never mind the logic that a caterpillar can’t hitchhike to Florida; he’s moving south, okay? Let’s stick with the logic here.) What the people who believe in this version of the legend would say about our local caterpillars that travel west to east all the time I don’t have a clue. Maybe they prefer the seashore?

Woolly Bear Caterpillar Myths Busted

But according to the United States National Weather Service, sadly that isn’t so.

According to their website, the woolly bear’s coloration is related to two factors: age and abundance of food. The older the caterpillar, the redder it will be. As it grows, it sheds its setae, or the furry outer skin. With each subsequent coat, it turns more reddish. That means that the caterpillar I saw was an older fellow. Younger caterpillars have more black.

In addition to the age and food factors, there are also 260 species of tiger moths in North America. Although the caterpillars are similar, each species has slightly differently colored caterpillars. So that caterpillar you’re looking at as a weatherman may simply be a different species than the one your neighbor is looking at in his yard.

Another factor is the abundance of food available to it during the summer. The more abundant the food, the wider the black stripes will be. So a mild, pleasant summer leads to caterpillars with thick black bands.

What about the plushness of the fur or setae? It’s just nature’s adaptation to the cold. The thick setae protects the caterpillar against freezing, helping it to regulate its temperature so it can survive temperatures as low as – 90 degrees F. Talk about adaptation!

Woolly Bears More Accurate Than the Weatherman


Given all of these factors, it’s still fun to look at the woolly bear caterpillars in the fall and guess about the upcoming winter weather. After all, the weatherman is often wrong. My little caterpillar friend has just as much of a chance at guessing the weather correctly as Al Roker.

More Insect Articles

  • Ouch! Saddleback Caterpillar Stings
  • Butterfly, Caterpillar and Cocoon Identification
  • Identifying Good Bugs from Bad by Their Cocoons

This post was written November 2014 and updated September 17, 2021 with improved information, formatting, images, and links.

Filed Under: Garden Pests

Previous Post: « Growing Great Chrysanthemums
Next Post: Plants That Attract Birds to the Garden »

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Rabia @TheLiebers

    November 7, 2014 at

    But I really wanted to believe that little guy that said we wouldn’t have much of a winter!

    • Jeanne

      November 10, 2014 at

      LOL! Me too!

Trackbacks

  1. Where Do Bugs Go in the Winter? - Home Garden Joy says:
    November 21, 2018 at

    […] as larvae: Have you ever seen the woolly bear caterpillar? Cherokee legend has it that the darker the stripes, the harsher the winter. Scientists say that […]

Footer

a blue borage herb flower

How to Start Herb Seeds the Right Way: Free Course

Learn how to start herb seeds the right way with The Herbal Academy’s new, FREE online course! Home Garden Joy is an Herbal Academy affiliate. We love their ebooks and courses. I’ve taken many of them and found them to be very helpful. They get to the heart of herbalism without introducing spiritual aspects in…

Read More

raised bed garden

How to Prepare Raised Beds for Spring Planting

The snow and ice have finally melted. In the mornings when I walk my dog through our farm, I can hear a rooster crowing on a neighboring farm. Cardinals have begun singing in the dawn. It’s spring, folks. And while the calendar reminds me we can still feel winter’s icy breath, spring planting is just…

Read More

two loaves of bread in the oven

Swedish Tea Bread

I first made Swedish tea bread for my 50th birthday. Three of my friends have birthdays in the same month and invited me to their family group birthday celebration (they are all relatives). I shaped the bread into braided rings and decorated it with sliced almonds. It was a hit, and I have made it…

Read More

a shovel with compost on it

How to Start Composting in Winter

Have you thought about starting a compost pile, but you’re wondering how to start composting in winter? I mean, after all, here in Virginia we just had three solid weeks of absolutely tundra-like temperatures. I had a sheet of ice for a lawn, and the raised bed garden was completely covered in a thick layer…

Read More

  • About
  • Plant a Row for the Hungry
  • My Books on Amazon
  • Awards
  • Privacy Policy

Let’s Connect!

  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • Pinterest
  • Threads
  • YouTube

Copyright © 2026 Home Garden Joy on the Foodie Pro Theme